Informal Request for ATI Records Previously Released

Organization: Public Health Agency of Canada

Year: 2021

Month: April

Request Number: A-2020-000481

Request Summary: Reference to the February 19, 2021 presentation titled "Update on COVID-19 in Canada: Epidemiology and Modelling." Pages 10 and 12 present three scenarios for forecast cases (six scenarios in all). The note on page 10 indicates that the method used is a model set out in the following "Estimating the impact of COVID-19 control measures using a Bayesian model of physical distancing." Provide the model used in preparing the scenarios, including the inputs. If the model is not available in software form, confirm that the model as used in the presentation is the same as the model as set out in the paper mentioned above. If not, set out what modifications were made to that model.

Disposition: All disclosed

Number of pages: 53

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