Projected Temperature change based on CMIP5 multi-model ensembles
Seasonal and annual multi-model ensembles of projected change (also known as anomalies) in mean temperature (°C) based on an ensemble of twenty-nine Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) global climate models are available for 1901-2100. Projected change in mean temperature (°C) is with respect to the reference period of 1986-2005. The 5th, 25th, 50th, 75th and 95th percentiles of the ensembles of projected change in mean temperature change are available for the historical time period, 1901-2005, and for emission scenarios, RCP2.6, RCP4.5 and RCP8.5, for 2006-2100.
Twenty-year average changes in mean temperature (°C) for four time periods (2021-2040; 2041-2060; 2061-2080; 2081-2100), with respect to the reference period of 1986-2005, for RCP2.6, RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 are also available in a range of formats. The median projected change across the ensemble of CMIP5 climate models is provided.
Note: Projections among climate models can vary because of differences in their underlying representation of earth system processes. Thus, the use of a multi-model ensemble approach has been demonstrated in recent scientific literature to likely provide better projected climate change information.
- Publisher - Current Organization Name: Environment and Climate Change Canada
- Licence: Open Government Licence - Canada
Data and Resources
View Data MartHTMLEnglish dataset HTML
View Data MartHTMLFrench dataset HTML
Climate Data ViewerHTMLEnglish application HTML
Climate Data ViewerHTMLFrench application HTML
Climate Data Extraction ToolHTMLEnglish French application HTML
GeoMet WMS (EN)WMSEnglish web_service WMS
GeoMet WMS (FR)WMSFrench web_service WMS
GeoMet WCS (EN)GeoTIFEnglish web_service GeoTIF
GeoMet WCS (FR)GeoTIFFrench web_service GeoTIF
Canadian Climate Data and Scenarios ENNetCDFEnglish application NetCDF
Canadian Climate Data and Scenarios FRNetCDFFrench application NetCDF
Data Collection MethodologyPDFEnglish guide PDF
Data Collection MethodologyPDFFrench guide PDF
View ECCC Data Mart (English)HTMLEnglish web_service HTML
View ECCC Data Mart (French)HTMLFrench web_service HTML
|Projected Temperature change based on CMIP5 multi-model ensembles|
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