Canada’s Energy Future 2021: Energy Supply and Demand Projections to 2050

Canada’s Energy Future 2021: Energy Supply and Demand Projections to 2050 Canada’s Energy Future 2021: Energy Supply and Demand Projections to 2050 (EF2021) is the latest long-term energy outlook from the Canada Energy Regulator (CER). The Canada’s Energy Future series explores how possible energy futures might unfold for Canadians over the long term. We use economic and energy models to make these projections. The CER bases our projections on assumptions about future trends in technology, energy and climate policies, energy markets, human behaviour, and the structure of the economy. EF2021 includes two core scenarios: The Evolving Policies Scenario and the Current Policies Scenario. The central difference between these scenarios is the level of future climate action, both globally and domestically. In both scenarios we provide projections for all energy commodities and all provinces and territories. EF2021 also includes six additional electricity scenarios that explore what Canada’s electricity system might look like in a net-zero world. These scenarios focus only on how Canada will meet given electricity demands under different conditions, and do not include projections for other energy commodities. Electricity is an important contributor to achieving net-zero emissions, so these projections are an important step in modeling related to a net-zero energy system in the Canada’s Energy Future series. 2021-12-09 Canada Energy Regulator open-ouvert@tbs-sct.gc.ca Government and PoliticsEnergyElectricityGenerationEnergy demandNatural gas productionOil productionEnergy useEnergy productionEnergy demand by sectorEnergy use by fuelNet zero benchmark-prices-2021CSV https://www.cer-rec.gc.ca/open/energy/energyfutures2021/benchmark-prices-2021.csv benchmark-prices-2021CSV https://www.cer-rec.gc.ca/ouvert/energie/avenirenergetique2021/prix-de-reference-2021.csv butane-2021CSV https://www.cer-rec.gc.ca/open/energy/energyfutures2021/butane-2021.csv butane-2021CSV https://www.cer-rec.gc.ca/ouvert/energie/avenirenergetique2021/butanes-2021.csv crude-oil-production-2021CSV https://www.cer-rec.gc.ca/open/energy/energyfutures2021/crude-oil-production-2021.csv crude-oil-production-2021CSV https://www.cer-rec.gc.ca/ouvert/energie/avenirenergetique2021/production-de-petrole-brut-2021.csv electricity-capacity-2021CSV https://www.cer-rec.gc.ca/open/energy/energyfutures2021/electricity-capacity-2021.csv electricity-capacity-2021CSV https://www.cer-rec.gc.ca/ouvert/energie/avenirenergetique2021/capacite-2021.csv electricity-generation-2021CSV https://www.cer-rec.gc.ca/open/energy/energyfutures2021/electricity-generation-2021.csv electricity-generation-2021CSV https://www.cer-rec.gc.ca/ouvert/energie/avenirenergetique2021/generation-electricite-2021.csv electricity-interchange-2021CSV https://www.cer-rec.gc.ca/open/energy/energyfutures2021/electricity-interchange-2021.csv electricity-interchange-2021CSV https://www.cer-rec.gc.ca/ouvert/energie/avenirenergetique2021/echange-electricite-2021.csv end-use-demand-2021CSV https://www.cer-rec.gc.ca/open/energy/energyfutures2021/end-use-demand-2021.csv end-use-demand-2021CSV https://www.cer-rec.gc.ca/ouvert/energie/avenirenergetique2021/demande-finale-d-energie-2021.csv end-use-prices-2021CSV https://www.cer-rec.gc.ca/open/energy/energyfutures2021/end-use-prices-2021.csv end-use-prices-2021CSV https://www.cer-rec.gc.ca/ouvert/energie/avenirenergetique2021/prix-de-fin-d-utilisation-2021.csv energy-futures-2021-data-dictionaryCSV https://www.cer-rec.gc.ca/open/energy/energyfutures2021/energy-futures-2021-data-dictionary.csv energy-futures-2021-data-dictionaryCSV https://www.cer-rec.gc.ca/ouvert/energie/avenirenergetique2021/avenirenergetique-2021-dictionnaire-de-donnees.csv ethane-2021CSV https://www.cer-rec.gc.ca/open/energy/energyfutures2021/ethane-2021.csv ethane-2021CSV https://www.cer-rec.gc.ca/ouvert/energie/avenirenergetique2021/ethane-2021.csv hydrogen-production-2021CSV https://www.cer-rec.gc.ca/open/energy/energyfutures2021/hydrogen-production-2021.csv hydrogen-production-2021CSV https://www.cer-rec.gc.ca/ouvert/energie/avenirenergetique2021/production-d-hydrogene.csv macro-indicators-2021CSV https://www.cer-rec.gc.ca/open/energy/energyfutures2021/macro-indicators-2021.csv macro-indicators-2021CSV https://www.cer-rec.gc.ca/ouvert/energie/avenirenergetique2021/indicateurs-macroeconomiques-2021.csv natural-gas-drilling-2021CSV https://www.cer-rec.gc.ca/open/energy/energyfutures2021/natural-gas-drilling-2021.csv natural-gas-drilling-2021CSV https://www.cer-rec.gc.ca/ouvert/energie/avenirenergetique2021/gaz-naturel-puits-fore-2021.csv natural-gas-production-2021CSV https://www.cer-rec.gc.ca/open/energy/energyfutures2021/natural-gas-production-2021.csv natural-gas-production-2021CSV https://www.cer-rec.gc.ca/ouvert/energie/avenirenergetique2021/production-de-gaz-naturel-2021.csv net-zero-electricity-canada-generation-2021CSV https://www.cer-rec.gc.ca/open/energy/energyfutures2021/net-zero-electricity-canada-generation-2021.csv net-zero-electricity-canada-generation-2021CSV https://www.cer-rec.gc.ca/ouvert/energie/avenirenergetique2021/production-canadienne-electricite-nette-zero.csv net-zero-electricity-capacity-2021CSV https://www.cer-rec.gc.ca/open/energy/energyfutures2021/net-zero-electricity-capacity-2021.csv net-zero-electricity-capacity-2021CSV https://www.cer-rec.gc.ca/ouvert/energie/avenirenergetique2021/capacite-electricite-nette-zero.csv net-zero-electricity-emissions-intensity-2021CSV https://www.cer-rec.gc.ca/open/energy/energyfutures2021/net-zero-electricity-emissions-intensity-2021.csv net-zero-electricity-emissions-intensity-2021CSV https://www.cer-rec.gc.ca/ouvert/energie/avenirenergetique2021/intensite-emissions-electricite-nette-zero.csv net-zero-electricity-provincial-generation-2021CSV https://www.cer-rec.gc.ca/open/energy/energyfutures2021/net-zero-electricity-provincial-generation-2021.csv net-zero-electricity-provincial-generation-2021CSV https://www.cer-rec.gc.ca/ouvert/energie/avenirenergetique2021/production-provinciale-electricite-nette-zero.csv pentanes-2021CSV https://www.cer-rec.gc.ca/open/energy/energyfutures2021/pentanes-2021.csv pentanes-2021CSV https://www.cer-rec.gc.ca/ouvert/energie/avenirenergetique2021/pentanes-2021.csv primary-energy-demand-2021CSV https://www.cer-rec.gc.ca/open/energy/energyfutures2021/primary-energy-demand-2021.csv primary-energy-demand-2021CSV https://www.cer-rec.gc.ca/ouvert/energie/avenirenergetique2021/demande-d-energie-primaire-2021.csv propane-2021CSV https://www.cer-rec.gc.ca/open/energy/energyfutures2021/propane-2021.csv propane-2021CSV https://www.cer-rec.gc.ca/ouvert/energie/avenirenergetique2021/propane-2021.csv

Canada’s Energy Future 2021: Energy Supply and Demand Projections to 2050 (EF2021) is the latest long-term energy outlook from the Canada Energy Regulator (CER). The Canada’s Energy Future series explores how possible energy futures might unfold for Canadians over the long term. We use economic and energy models to make these projections. The CER bases our projections on assumptions about future trends in technology, energy and climate policies, energy markets, human behaviour, and the structure of the economy. EF2021 includes two core scenarios: The Evolving Policies Scenario and the Current Policies Scenario. The central difference between these scenarios is the level of future climate action, both globally and domestically. In both scenarios we provide projections for all energy commodities and all provinces and territories. EF2021 also includes six additional electricity scenarios that explore what Canada’s electricity system might look like in a net-zero world. These scenarios focus only on how Canada will meet given electricity demands under different conditions, and do not include projections for other energy commodities. Electricity is an important contributor to achieving net-zero emissions, so these projections are an important step in modeling related to a net-zero energy system in the Canada’s Energy Future series.

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