Canada’s Greenhouse Gas Emissions Projections

Canada’s Greenhouse Gas Emissions Projections We publish Canada’s greenhouse gas (GHG) and air pollutant emissions projections each year. The GHG emissions projections help us measure progress in reducing greenhouse gas emissions and combating climate change. GHG emissions projections are presented for a few scenarios. The air pollutant projections reflect our action to reduce air pollution. Description of site contents: Because of the large number of tables, results are presented in folders and sub-folders. Below is a description of the folder structure: • current_projections_actuelles: This folder includes our most recent projections as reported in Canada's Greenhouse Gas and Air Pollutant Emissions Projections (2023) (https://www.canada.ca/en/environment-climate-change/services/climate-change/greenhouse-gas-emissions/projections.html). • previous_projections_precedentes: This folder includes projections that were initially reported since 2017 (see our Greenhouse gas emissions projections page at https://www.canada.ca/en/environment-climate-change/services/climate-change/greenhouse-gas-emissions/projections.html for links to these reports). Starting in 2018, results are split in two additional sub-folders. Each includes a file named readme_lisezmoi.txt, which provides additional details about the data included in each sub-folder. Starting in 2021, a file named “combined-table-tableau-combiné.xlsx” is also included in the top folder. This file contains a summary of all data tables included in the “GHG – GES” and "Energy - Énergie" sub-folders.• The sub-folder named "GHG - GES" includes tables presenting GHG and, starting in 2018, air pollutant emissions data. Starting in 2021, the folder also includes tables outlining Canada’s LULUCF net GHG fluxes and accounting contributions. The sub-folder named "Energy - Énergie" includes tables presenting energy and macroeconomic data for each sector included in the "GHG - GES" folder. Starting in 2021, the sub-folder includes a table showing emission factors for flaring, venting, and fugitive emissions from the Oil and Gas sector. Starting in 2022, energy data is split in two additional sub-folders. The tables located in the "Reference Scenario de reference" folder reflect results from the current Reference Case Scenario, while tables located in the "AM Scenario AMS" folder reflect results from the current Additional Measures Scenario. Starting in 2023, a file named “GHG_per_capita_emissions_GES_par_habitant.csv” is included in the "Energy - Énergie" subfolders, and shows emissions per capita by province/territory and for Canada. In addition, the “Macroeconomics-Macroeconomiques/” folder is now also included in the "AM Scenario AMS" folder. Finally, the “GHG_Scenarios_GES.csv” file is no longer published, and data previously included in it is included in the file “detailed_GHG_emissions_GES_detaillees.csv”. 2023-12-09 Environment and Climate Change Canada enviroinfo@ec.gc.ca Nature and EnvironmentGreenhouse gasesAir pollutionCanadagreenhousegasemissionsGHGnationalinventoryreportNIRUNFCCCprovincialprovinceTerritoryTerritoriesCO2CH4N2OHFCPFCSF6NF3carbondioxidemethanenitrous oxidehydrofluorocarbonsperfluorocarbonssulphur hexafluoridenitrogen trifluorideAlbertaABBritishColumbiaBCManitobaMBNew BrunswickNBNewfoundlandLabradorNFLDNova ScotiaNSNorthwestNTNunavutNUOntarioONPrinceEdwardIslandPEIQuebecQCSaskatchewanSASKYukonYKEnergyStationaryCombustionSourcesElectricityHeatGenerationFossilFuelProductionRefiningMiningOilExtractionManufacturingIndustryIndustriesIndustrialConstructionCommercialInstitutionalResidentialAgricultureAgriculturalForestryTransportCivilAviationDomesticRoadTransportationLight-dutyGasolineVehiclesTrucksHeavy-dutyMotorcyclesDieselPropaneNaturalRailwaysNavigationMarineOff-RoadPipelinesFugitiveCoalProcessesMineralProductsCementLimeChemicalNitricAcidApidicPetrochemicalMetalIronSteelAluminiumMagnesiumSmeltersCastersConsumptionHalocarbonsUndifferentiatedSolventEntericFermentationManureSoilsDirectPastureRangePaddockIndirectBurningResiduesWasteSolidDisposalLandWastewaterHandlingIncinerationForestCroplandGrasslandWetlandsSettlementsLand-usepollutantpollutionairozoneparticulatemattervolatileorganiccompoundnitrogenoxidessulphuroxideammoniaPollutantsEnvironmentalIndicatorsGothenburg ProtocolParis AgreementPCFPan Canadian Frameworkblack carbonArctic Councilmercurycarbon monoxideopen sourcesLULUCFLand-useland-use change and forestryreferencetechnologyscenario Greenhouse gas emissions projections (English)HTML https://www.canada.ca/en/environment-climate-change/services/climate-change/greenhouse-gas-emissions/projections.html Greenhouse gas emissions projections (French)HTML https://www.canada.ca/fr/environnement-changement-climatique/services/changements-climatiques/emissions-gaz-effet-serre/projections.html View ECCC Data Mart (English)HTML https://data-donnees.ec.gc.ca/data/substances/monitor/canada-s-greenhouse-gas-emissions-projections/?lang=en/ View ECCC Data Mart (French)HTML https://data-donnees.ec.gc.ca/data/substances/monitor/canada-s-greenhouse-gas-emissions-projections/?lang=fr

We publish Canada’s greenhouse gas (GHG) and air pollutant emissions projections each year.

The GHG emissions projections help us measure progress in reducing greenhouse gas emissions and combating climate change. GHG emissions projections are presented for a few scenarios. The air pollutant projections reflect our action to reduce air pollution.

Description of site contents:

Because of the large number of tables, results are presented in folders and sub-folders. Below is a description of the folder structure:

• current_projections_actuelles: This folder includes our most recent projections as reported in Canada's Greenhouse Gas and Air Pollutant Emissions Projections (2023) (https://www.canada.ca/en/environment-climate-change/services/climate-change/greenhouse-gas-emissions/projections.html).

• previous_projections_precedentes: This folder includes projections that were initially reported since 2017 (see our Greenhouse gas emissions projections page at https://www.canada.ca/en/environment-climate-change/services/climate-change/greenhouse-gas-emissions/projections.html for links to these reports).

Starting in 2018, results are split in two additional sub-folders. Each includes a file named readme_lisezmoi.txt, which provides additional details about the data included in each sub-folder.

Starting in 2021, a file named “combined-table-tableau-combiné.xlsx” is also included in the top folder. This file contains a summary of all data tables included in the “GHG – GES” and "Energy - Énergie" sub-folders.• The sub-folder named "GHG - GES" includes tables presenting GHG and, starting in 2018, air pollutant emissions data. Starting in 2021, the folder also includes tables outlining Canada’s LULUCF net GHG fluxes and accounting contributions.

The sub-folder named "Energy - Énergie" includes tables presenting energy and macroeconomic data for each sector included in the "GHG - GES" folder. Starting in 2021, the sub-folder includes a table showing emission factors for flaring, venting, and fugitive emissions from the Oil and Gas sector.

Starting in 2022, energy data is split in two additional sub-folders. The tables located in the "Reference Scenario de reference" folder reflect results from the current Reference Case Scenario, while tables located in the "AM Scenario AMS" folder reflect results from the current Additional Measures Scenario.

Starting in 2023, a file named “GHG_per_capita_emissions_GES_par_habitant.csv” is included in the "Energy - Énergie" subfolders, and shows emissions per capita by province/territory and for Canada. In addition, the “Macroeconomics-Macroeconomiques/” folder is now also included in the "AM Scenario AMS" folder. Finally, the “GHG_Scenarios_GES.csv” file is no longer published, and data previously included in it is included in the file “detailed_GHG_emissions_GES_detaillees.csv”.

Data and Resources

Similar records