Projected Sea Ice Thickness change based on CMIP5 multi-model ensembles Seasonal and annual multi-model ensembles of projected change (also known as anomalies) in sea ice thickness, based on an ensemble of twenty-six Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) global climate models are available for 1900-2100. Projected change in sea ice thickness is with respect to the reference period of 1986-2005 and expressed as a percentage (%). The 5th, 25th, 50th, 75th and 95th percentiles of the ensemble of sea ice thickness change are available for the historical time period, 1900-2005, and for emission scenarios, RCP2.6, RCP4.5 and RCP8.5, for 2006-2100. Twenty-year average changes in sea ice thickness (%) for four time periods (2021-2040; 2041-2060; 2061-2080; 2081-2100), with respect to the reference period of 1986-2005, for RCP2.6, RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 are also available in a range of formats. The median projected change across the ensemble of CMIP5 climate models is provided. Note: Projections among climate models can vary because of differences in their underlying representation of earth system processes. Thus, the use of a multi-model ensemble approach has been demonstrated in recent scientific literature to likely provide better projected climate change information. 2018-09-06 2018-10-02 Environment and Climate Change Canada ec.ccds.info-info.dscc.ec@canada.ca Nature and EnvironmentScience and TechnologyProjections; climate; climate change; percentiles; ensembles; climate model; sea ice; cmip5; anomalyWeather and ClimateProvide Climate Information Products and ServicesExpand Scientific Knowledge for Climate Monitoring and PredictionInternationalClimateClimate change View Data MartHTML http://dd.weather.gc.ca/climate/cmip5 View Data MartHTML http://dd.meteo.gc.ca/climate/cmip5 Climate Data ViewerHTML https://climate-viewer.canada.ca/climate-maps.html Climate Data ViewerHTML https://visualiseur-climatique.canada.ca/cartes-climatiques.html Climate Data Extraction ToolHTML https://climate-change.canada.ca/climate-data/#/cmip5-data GeoMet WMS (EN)WMS https://geo.weather.gc.ca/geomet-climate?service=WMS&version=1.3.0&request=GetCapabilities GeoMet WMS (FR)WMS https://geo.weather.gc.ca/geomet-climate?lang=fr&service=WMS&version=1.3.0&request=GetCapabilities GeoMet WCS (EN)GeoTIF https://geo.weather.gc.ca/geomet-climate?service=WCS&version=2.0.1&request=GetCapabilities GeoMet WCS (FR)GeoTIF https://geo.weather.gc.ca/geomet-climate?lang=fr&service=WCS&version=2.0.1&request=GetCapabilities Canadian Climate Data and Scenarios ENNetCDF http://climate-scenarios.canada.ca/index.php?page=main Canadian Climate Data and Scenarios FRNetCDF http://scenarios-climatiques.canada.ca/index.php?page=main Data Collection MethodologyPDF http://data.ec.gc.ca/data/climate/scientificknowledge/projected-sea-ice-thickness-change-based-on-cmip5-multi-model-ensembles/CMIP5_-_READ_ME_Technical_Doc_EN.pdf Data Collection MethodologyPDF http://data.ec.gc.ca/data/climate/scientificknowledge/projected-sea-ice-thickness-change-based-on-cmip5-multi-model-ensembles/CMIP5_-_READ_ME_Technical_Doc_FR.pdf View ECCC Data Mart (English)HTML http://data.ec.gc.ca/data/climate/scientificknowledge/projected-sea-ice-thickness-change-based-on-cmip5-multi-model-ensembles View ECCC Data Mart (French)HTML http://data.ec.gc.ca/data/climate/scientificknowledge/projected-sea-ice-thickness-change-based-on-cmip5-multi-model-ensembles?lang=fr

Projected Sea Ice Thickness change based on CMIP5 multi-model ensembles

Seasonal and annual multi-model ensembles of projected change (also known as anomalies) in sea ice thickness, based on an ensemble of twenty-six Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) global climate models are available for 1900-2100. Projected change in sea ice thickness is with respect to the reference period of 1986-2005 and expressed as a percentage (%). The 5th, 25th, 50th, 75th and 95th percentiles of the ensemble of sea ice thickness change are available for the historical time period, 1900-2005, and for emission scenarios, RCP2.6, RCP4.5 and RCP8.5, for 2006-2100.

Twenty-year average changes in sea ice thickness (%) for four time periods (2021-2040; 2041-2060; 2061-2080; 2081-2100), with respect to the reference period of 1986-2005, for RCP2.6, RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 are also available in a range of formats. The median projected change across the ensemble of CMIP5 climate models is provided.

Note: Projections among climate models can vary because of differences in their underlying representation of earth system processes. Thus, the use of a multi-model ensemble approach has been demonstrated in recent scientific literature to likely provide better projected climate change information.

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GeoMet WMS (EN) Web Service WMS English Access
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Canadian Climate Data and Scenarios EN Application NetCDF English Access
Canadian Climate Data and Scenarios FR Application NetCDF French Access
Data Collection Methodology Guide PDF English Access
Data Collection Methodology Guide PDF French Access
View ECCC Data Mart (English) Web Service HTML English Access
View ECCC Data Mart (French) Web Service HTML French Access

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