Canadian Occupational Projection System (COPS) - 2024 to 2033 projections

Canadian Occupational Projection System (COPS) - 2024 to 2033 projections Employment and Social Development Canada (ESDC) uses the models of the Canadian Occupational Projection System (COPS) and the National Occupational Classification (NOC, 2021 version) to develop projections of future trends in the numbers of job openings and job seekers by occupation at the national level. The projections allow for identifying those occupations that may face labour shortage or labour surplus conditions over the medium term. The latest projections cover the 2024 to 2033 period. For more information, explore: Canadian Occupational Projections System – ESDC 2025-02-24 Employment and Social Development Canada SPPC-COPS@hrsdc-rhdcc.gc.ca Economics and IndustryGovernment and PoliticsLabourCOPSForecastProjectionsOutlookEmploymentShortageSurplusLabour MarketRetirementsImmigrationJob OpeningsJob SeekersSchool Leavers Summary of the Components (Job Openings and Job Seekers), 2024-2033 by OccupationCSV https://open.canada.ca/data/dataset/e80851b8-de68-43bd-a85c-c72e1b3a3890/resource/7c4767a5-f807-441d-9776-a0074b5870a0/download/summary_sommaire_2024_2033_noc2021.csv Projections of Job Openings: Employment by occupationCSV https://open.canada.ca/data/dataset/e80851b8-de68-43bd-a85c-c72e1b3a3890/resource/da1135c5-a1df-4a07-a81e-de308ae6cce6/download/employment_emploi_2024_2033_noc2021.csv Projections of Job Openings: Employment Change (Expansion Demand) by occupationCSV https://open.canada.ca/data/dataset/e80851b8-de68-43bd-a85c-c72e1b3a3890/resource/7f0bf3be-c9ed-466b-bac8-f192a2776e0f/download/employment_growth_croissance_emploi_2024_2033_noc2021.csv Projections of Job Openings: Replacement Demand due to Retirement by OccupationCSV https://open.canada.ca/data/dataset/e80851b8-de68-43bd-a85c-c72e1b3a3890/resource/faaf7627-ef31-4e25-950b-456bf3502c8d/download/retirements_retraites_2024_2033_noc2021.csv Projected retirement rates by occupationCSV https://open.canada.ca/data/dataset/e80851b8-de68-43bd-a85c-c72e1b3a3890/resource/60c49627-ae69-4612-a68a-2b0e6b8e1b48/download/retirement_rates_taux_de_retraite_2024_2033_noc2021.csv Projections of Job Openings: Replacement demand due to Emigration and In-Service Morality, by OccupationCSV https://open.canada.ca/data/dataset/e80851b8-de68-43bd-a85c-c72e1b3a3890/resource/e5f65bcf-fef0-4117-90c3-aac8d892e25d/download/other_replacement_autre_remplacement_2024_2033_noc2021.csv Projections of Job Openings: Total number (Expansion demand, retirement, Emigration and In-Service Mortality) by OccupationCSV https://open.canada.ca/data/dataset/e80851b8-de68-43bd-a85c-c72e1b3a3890/resource/c74ec689-f642-4ea5-ae7d-3e6deeae504f/download/jo_pe_2024_2033_noc2021.csv Projections of Job Seekers: School Leavers by OccupationCSV https://open.canada.ca/data/dataset/e80851b8-de68-43bd-a85c-c72e1b3a3890/resource/cad9faae-b8a8-4a07-b601-eda3bacfae95/download/school_leavers_sortants_scolaires_2024_2033_noc2021.csv Projections of Job Seekers: New Immigrants by OccupationCSV https://open.canada.ca/data/dataset/e80851b8-de68-43bd-a85c-c72e1b3a3890/resource/d44e6410-256f-4538-bdc9-11e83005d3d0/download/immigration_2024_2033_noc2021.csv Projections of Job Seekers: Other Job Seekers (occupational mobility, net re-entries, working students, etc.) by OccupationCSV https://open.canada.ca/data/dataset/e80851b8-de68-43bd-a85c-c72e1b3a3890/resource/5c0f3437-7a6c-4eaf-a1c6-3e1122df4031/download/other_seekers_autres_chercheurs_2024_2033_noc2021.csv Projections of Job Seekers: Total number (school leavers, immigration and other job seekers) by OccupationCSV https://open.canada.ca/data/dataset/e80851b8-de68-43bd-a85c-c72e1b3a3890/resource/b3bb5a99-7b8b-4589-bf7d-90d3e5254309/download/job_seekers_chercheurs_emploi_2024_2033_noc2021.csv Assessment of Recent Labour Market Conditions (shortage, surplus or balance), 2021-2023, by OccupationCSV https://open.canada.ca/data/dataset/e80851b8-de68-43bd-a85c-c72e1b3a3890/resource/ff795791-0728-4dcf-8fdd-d7ba9e1210b8/download/rlmc_crmt_2021_2023_noc2021.csv Assessment of Projected Labour Market Conditions (shortage, surplus or balance), 2024-2033, by OccupationCSV https://open.canada.ca/data/dataset/e80851b8-de68-43bd-a85c-c72e1b3a3890/resource/446fe474-96e7-47cd-a3f9-3bb391b2df60/download/flmc_cfmt_2024_2033_noc2021.csv Files Structure DefinitionsTXT https://open.canada.ca/data/dataset/e80851b8-de68-43bd-a85c-c72e1b3a3890/resource/033499af-369b-45d4-af2f-5327f4e9e18a/download/files_structure_definitions_definition_structure_fichiers_2024_2033.txt GlossaryHTML http://occupations.esdc.gc.ca/sppc-cops/gl.4ss.1ry@-eng.jsp GlossaryHTML http://occupations.esdc.gc.ca/sppc-cops/gl.4ss.1ry@-fra.jsp? Growth rate for Employment, GDP and Productivity (2024-2033) by industryCSV https://open.canada.ca/data/dataset/e80851b8-de68-43bd-a85c-c72e1b3a3890/resource/8f3a4a61-301a-43c3-9356-a77ebbd290d9/download/industrial_aagr_tcam_par_industrie_2024_2033.csv Projections of Job Openings : Employment by IndustryCSV https://open.canada.ca/data/dataset/e80851b8-de68-43bd-a85c-c72e1b3a3890/resource/fdb88d4c-14aa-4421-90c5-ccf3dd84eff6/download/industrial_employment_emploi_par_industrie_2024_2033.csv Projections of Job Openings: Employment Change (Expansion Demand) by IndustryCSV https://open.canada.ca/data/dataset/e80851b8-de68-43bd-a85c-c72e1b3a3890/resource/e108903d-bde3-4f11-9775-2cc3ad0df034/download/industrial_employment_growth_croissant_du_emploi_par_industrie_2024_2033.csv Projections of Job Openings: Retirement Projections by IndustryCSV https://open.canada.ca/data/dataset/e80851b8-de68-43bd-a85c-c72e1b3a3890/resource/affd0c80-78cc-42fc-b8c4-94ee643e0827/download/industrial_retirements_retraites_par_industrie_2024_2033_noc2021.csv Projections of Job Openings: Emigration and In-Service Mortality by industryCSV https://open.canada.ca/data/dataset/e80851b8-de68-43bd-a85c-c72e1b3a3890/resource/b3e03d4e-26dc-4d32-ab4d-a32a684f6b53/download/industrial_other_replacement_autre_remplacement_par_industrie_2024_2033_noc2021.csv Projections of Job Openings: Total number (employment growth, retirements and other replacement demands) by industryCSV https://open.canada.ca/data/dataset/e80851b8-de68-43bd-a85c-c72e1b3a3890/resource/7bd410f6-9ba0-4aff-a482-b2c38204fbb4/download/industrial_job_opening_ouverture_demploi_par_industrie_2024_2033_noc2021.csv Population projections by gender and age groupCSV https://open.canada.ca/data/dataset/e80851b8-de68-43bd-a85c-c72e1b3a3890/resource/6449394d-8998-41b7-a4e0-fa424f199a46/download/population_2024-2033.csv Projected participation rates by gender and age groupCSV https://open.canada.ca/data/dataset/e80851b8-de68-43bd-a85c-c72e1b3a3890/resource/6e42c114-4d4e-4538-95ea-d50d7f74c358/download/participation_rate_taux_d_activite_2024-2033.csv Projected participation rates by Educational LevelsCSV https://open.canada.ca/data/dataset/e80851b8-de68-43bd-a85c-c72e1b3a3890/resource/59c7f390-3239-44c7-95b7-692c305a2b93/download/participation_rate_taux_d_activite_education_2024-2033.csv Labour Force Projections by Gender and Age GroupsCSV https://open.canada.ca/data/dataset/e80851b8-de68-43bd-a85c-c72e1b3a3890/resource/b5f9d1d4-0d6a-479b-8a05-262ac2243789/download/labour_force_population_active_2024-2033.csv Labour Force Projections by level of educationCSV https://open.canada.ca/data/dataset/e80851b8-de68-43bd-a85c-c72e1b3a3890/resource/a18bfe92-94c0-4cec-a9d7-865d1ce766a7/download/participation_rate_taux_d_activite_education_2024-2033.csv Gross domestic product (GDP) by industryCSV https://open.canada.ca/data/dataset/e80851b8-de68-43bd-a85c-c72e1b3a3890/resource/22ac3c9f-aa82-4bd4-9d4e-8d17074b2136/download/industrial_gdp_pib_par_industrie_2024_2033.csv

Employment and Social Development Canada (ESDC) uses the models of the Canadian Occupational Projection System (COPS) and the National Occupational Classification (NOC, 2021 version) to develop projections of future trends in the numbers of job openings and job seekers by occupation at the national level. The projections allow for identifying those occupations that may face labour shortage or labour surplus conditions over the medium term. The latest projections cover the 2024 to 2033 period.

For more information, explore: Canadian Occupational Projections System – ESDC

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