Canadian Occupational Projection System (COPS) - 2022 to 2031 projections

Canadian Occupational Projection System (COPS) - 2022 to 2031 projections Employment and Social Development Canada (ESDC) uses the models of the Canadian Occupational Projection System (COPS) and the National Occupational Classification (NOC, 2016 version) to develop projections of future trends in the numbers of job openings and job seekers by occupation at the national level. The projections allow for identifying those occupations that may face labour shortage or labour surplus conditions over the medium term. The latest projections cover the 2022 to 2031 period. 2024-12-09 Employment and Social Development Canada open-ouvert@tbs-sct.gc.ca Economics and IndustryGovernment and PoliticsLabourCOPSForecastProjectionsOutlookEmploymentShortageSurplusLabour MarketRetirementsImmigrationJob OpeningsJob SeekersSchool Leavers Annual Occupational Employment ProjectionsCSV https://open.canada.ca/data/dataset/e80851b8-de68-43bd-a85c-c72e1b3a3890/resource/da1135c5-a1df-4a07-a81e-de308ae6cce6/download/employment_emploi_2022_2031_noc2016.csv Annual Change of the Projected Occupational EmploymentCSV https://open.canada.ca/data/dataset/e80851b8-de68-43bd-a85c-c72e1b3a3890/resource/7f0bf3be-c9ed-466b-bac8-f192a2776e0f/download/employment_growth_croissance_emploi_2022_2031_noc2016.csv Replacement Demand in the Form of Annual Retirement Estimates by OccupationCSV https://open.canada.ca/data/dataset/e80851b8-de68-43bd-a85c-c72e1b3a3890/resource/faaf7627-ef31-4e25-950b-456bf3502c8d/download/retirements_retraites_2022_2031_noc2016.csv Job Openings Due to the Replacement Due to Emigration and In-Service Morality, by OccupationCSV https://open.canada.ca/data/dataset/e80851b8-de68-43bd-a85c-c72e1b3a3890/resource/e5f65bcf-fef0-4117-90c3-aac8d892e25d/download/other_replacement_autre_remplacement_2022_2031_noc2016.csv Summation of All Projected Demand Components by OccupationCSV https://open.canada.ca/data/dataset/e80851b8-de68-43bd-a85c-c72e1b3a3890/resource/c74ec689-f642-4ea5-ae7d-3e6deeae504f/download/jo_pe_2022_2031_noc2016.csv Estimates of School Leavers Seeking Jobs by OccupationCSV https://open.canada.ca/data/dataset/e80851b8-de68-43bd-a85c-c72e1b3a3890/resource/cad9faae-b8a8-4a07-b601-eda3bacfae95/download/school_leavers_sortants_scolaires_2022_2031_noc2016.csv Annual Projections of New Immigrants Seeking Jobs by OccupationCSV https://open.canada.ca/data/dataset/e80851b8-de68-43bd-a85c-c72e1b3a3890/resource/d44e6410-256f-4538-bdc9-11e83005d3d0/download/immigration_2022_2031_noc2016.csv Projections of Other Job Seekers by Occupation(occupational mobility, net re-entries, working students, etc.)CSV https://open.canada.ca/data/dataset/e80851b8-de68-43bd-a85c-c72e1b3a3890/resource/5c0f3437-7a6c-4eaf-a1c6-3e1122df4031/download/other_seekers_autres_chercheurs_2022_2031_noc2016.csv Summation of All Projected Supply Components (school leavers, immigration and other job seekers) by OccupationCSV https://open.canada.ca/data/dataset/e80851b8-de68-43bd-a85c-c72e1b3a3890/resource/b3bb5a99-7b8b-4589-bf7d-90d3e5254309/download/job_seekers_chercheurs_emploi_2022_2031_noc2016.csv Summary of Cumulative Job Openings and Job Seekers Over the Projection Period (2022-2031) by OccupationCSV https://open.canada.ca/data/dataset/e80851b8-de68-43bd-a85c-c72e1b3a3890/resource/7c4767a5-f807-441d-9776-a0074b5870a0/download/summary_sommaire_2022_2031_noc2016.csv Assessment of Recent Labour Market Conditions (shortage, surplus or balance), 2016-2018, by OccupationCSV https://open.canada.ca/data/dataset/e80851b8-de68-43bd-a85c-c72e1b3a3890/resource/ff795791-0728-4dcf-8fdd-d7ba9e1210b8/download/rlmc_crmt_2022_2031_noc2016.csv Final Assessment of Projected Labour Market Conditions (shortage, surplus or balance), 2022-2031, by OccupationCSV https://open.canada.ca/data/dataset/e80851b8-de68-43bd-a85c-c72e1b3a3890/resource/446fe474-96e7-47cd-a3f9-3bb391b2df60/download/flmc_cfmt_2022-2031_noc2016.csv Files Structure DefinitionsTXT https://open.canada.ca/data/dataset/e80851b8-de68-43bd-a85c-c72e1b3a3890/resource/033499af-369b-45d4-af2f-5327f4e9e18a/download/files_structure_definitions_definition_structure_fichiers_2022_2031.txt GlossaryHTML http://occupations.esdc.gc.ca/sppc-cops/gl.4ss.1ry@-eng.jsp GlossaryHTML http://occupations.esdc.gc.ca/sppc-cops/gl.4ss.1ry@-fra.jsp? COPS Occupational GroupingsCSV https://open.canada.ca/data/dataset/e80851b8-de68-43bd-a85c-c72e1b3a3890/resource/f54650fb-606c-45fd-94c5-71ae638623ab/download/noc_occ_grouping_fr_2022-2031_noc2016.csv COPS Occupational Groupings CSV https://open.canada.ca/data/dataset/e80851b8-de68-43bd-a85c-c72e1b3a3890/resource/981822af-7f6c-4ce0-aefb-c148db260780/download/noc_occ_grouping_eng_2022-2031_noc2016.csv Annual Employment Projections by IndustryCSV https://open.canada.ca/data/dataset/e80851b8-de68-43bd-a85c-c72e1b3a3890/resource/fdb88d4c-14aa-4421-90c5-ccf3dd84eff6/download/industrial_employment_emploi_par_secteur_2022_2031_noc2016.csv Annual Employment Growth Projections by IndustryCSV https://open.canada.ca/data/dataset/e80851b8-de68-43bd-a85c-c72e1b3a3890/resource/e108903d-bde3-4f11-9775-2cc3ad0df034/download/industrial_employment_growth_croissant_du_emploi_par_secteur_2022_2031_noc2016.csv Annual Retirement Projections by IndustryCSV https://open.canada.ca/data/dataset/e80851b8-de68-43bd-a85c-c72e1b3a3890/resource/affd0c80-78cc-42fc-b8c4-94ee643e0827/download/industrial_retirements_retraites_par_secteur_2022_2031_noc2016.csv Annual Projections of Other Replacement Demand (Emigration and in-Service Mortality) by IndustryCSV https://open.canada.ca/data/dataset/e80851b8-de68-43bd-a85c-c72e1b3a3890/resource/b3e03d4e-26dc-4d32-ab4d-a32a684f6b53/download/industrial_other_replacement_autre_remplacement_par_secteur_2022_2031_noc2016.csv Annual Projections of Total Job Openings by IndustryCSV https://open.canada.ca/data/dataset/e80851b8-de68-43bd-a85c-c72e1b3a3890/resource/7bd410f6-9ba0-4aff-a482-b2c38204fbb4/download/industrial_jo_pe_par_secteur_2022_2031_noc2016.csv National Population Annual Projections by Gender and Age GroupsCSV https://open.canada.ca/data/dataset/e80851b8-de68-43bd-a85c-c72e1b3a3890/resource/6449394d-8998-41b7-a4e0-fa424f199a46/download/population_2022-2031.csv National Participation Rate Annual Projections by Gender and Age Groups CSV https://open.canada.ca/data/dataset/e80851b8-de68-43bd-a85c-c72e1b3a3890/resource/6e42c114-4d4e-4538-95ea-d50d7f74c358/download/participation_rate_taux_d_activite_2022-2031_noc2016.csv National Participation Rate Annual Projections by Educational LevelsCSV https://open.canada.ca/data/dataset/e80851b8-de68-43bd-a85c-c72e1b3a3890/resource/59c7f390-3239-44c7-95b7-692c305a2b93/download/participation_rate_taux_d_activite_education_2022-2031_noc2016.csv National Labour Force Annual Projections by Gender and Age GroupsCSV https://open.canada.ca/data/dataset/e80851b8-de68-43bd-a85c-c72e1b3a3890/resource/b5f9d1d4-0d6a-479b-8a05-262ac2243789/download/labour_force_population_active_2022-2031_noc2016.csv National Labour Force Annual Projections by Educational LevelsCSV https://open.canada.ca/data/dataset/e80851b8-de68-43bd-a85c-c72e1b3a3890/resource/a18bfe92-94c0-4cec-a9d7-865d1ce766a7/download/labour_force_population_active_education_2022-2031_noc2016.csv National Occupational Annual Retirement Rates Projections CSV https://open.canada.ca/data/dataset/e80851b8-de68-43bd-a85c-c72e1b3a3890/resource/60c49627-ae69-4612-a68a-2b0e6b8e1b48/download/retirement_rates_taux_de_retraite_2022_2031_noc2016.csv

Employment and Social Development Canada (ESDC) uses the models of the Canadian Occupational Projection System (COPS) and the National Occupational Classification (NOC, 2016 version) to develop projections of future trends in the numbers of job openings and job seekers by occupation at the national level. The projections allow for identifying those occupations that may face labour shortage or labour surplus conditions over the medium term. The latest projections cover the 2022 to 2031 period.

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